Sunday: Early NFL Kickoffs (1:00 PM ET, FOX & CBS)

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Sunday: Early NFL Kickoffs (1:00 PM ET, FOX & CBS)


2009-11-16

With one game already in the books for the Week 10 NFL slate, there are 13 more slated for Sunday. Eight of those games are early kickoffs being served to regional markets. The biggest matchup is that for the lead in the AFC North Division as 6-2 teams square off in Pittsburgh. Elsewhere, Minnesota and New Orleans will also be in action. Read on for some key betting tidbits on those games, plus a BEST BET writeup on the Jacksonville-NY Jets contest from the StatFox Platinum Sheet. Get the latest key info on all the action on the LIVE ODDS, BETTING TRENDS, and TEAM STATISTICS pages of Sportsbook.com.

(219) CINCINNATI at (220) PITTSBURGH
The AFC North race figures to be a slugfest the rest of the way, with all three top teams within striking distance of one another. The winners of the head-to-head battles figure to gain the upper hand. Prior to the first meeting of ‘09 between these teams, the winner in this series was usually Pittsburgh, who had gone 26-9 SU & 22-12 ATS vs. Cincy since '92. The Bengals turned the tables though in Week 3, pulling out a 23-20 upset at home in the final minute as a 3-point dog. The Steelers will look to avenge that defeat and extend a 10-game home winning streak on Sunday. They are 7-3 ATS in that span, allowing just 14.1 PPG. The Bengals are off the home win over Baltimore, and boast a respectable 11-9 ATS record on the divisional road under Marvin Lewis.

(223) DETROIT at (224) MINNESOTA
Minnesota comes out of its bye week in control of the NFC North and riding high after winning at Lambeau Field. The Vikings square off with another divisional foe on Sunday when they host Detroit. Minnesota has won all three divisional games in ‘09, both SU & ATS, and is 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in its L5 post-bye week games at home. They are 8-1 SU & 6-2-1 ATS in the L9 meetings vs. Detroit. The Lions have lost all three of their divisional games, and have been outscored by 21.4 PPG. They come off another road loss, at Seattle, and have now lost 16 straight games away from, including seven vs. NFC North foes with an average losing margin of 17.0 PPG. These teams have played a relatively low scoring series at the Metrodome, going under in 10 of the L15 meetings.

(225) NEW ORLEANS at (226) ST LOUIS
New Orleans went through its first half of the 2009 schedule unbeaten. If the Saints are to fall a first time, it doesn't figure to be the next two weeks, as they face two of the league's worst teams on the road starting in St. Louis. New Orleans is a 14-point favorite, the largest chalk line it has faced in the Sean Payton era. They are 9-1 ATS as road chalk in his tenure, but just 1-4 ATS laying double-digits. The Rams are on a 4-14 ATS slide vs. teams scoring 27 PPG or more, and have lost six straight, both SU & ATS, vs. teams outscoring their opponents by >6.0 PPG, the average loss being 24.2 PPG. St. Louis has been particularly bad at home, having lost eight straight games, going 2-6 ATS. They are 0-3 SU & ATS in '09 and being outscored by 27.7 PPG.

StatFox Steve had this to say about the Jaguars-Jets contest: Both Jacksonville and the Jets are 4-4 after eight games and each remains in the hunt for a wildcard spot in the AFC. Which team is better suited to compete the rest of the way though? That's a pretty easy question to answer when you look at a few simple factors. First, Jacksonville's best win came at Houston, but other than that, the Jaguars have beaten Tennessee, St. Louis, and Kansas City. In fact, they have played one of the league's softest schedules to date. The result of their 4-4 mark now is a StatFox Outplay Factor Rating of -8.9. Normally I'd guess that a team with that rating would be lucky to be 2-6. Meanwhile, the Jets have an OF of +5.1, and should be much better than 4-4 with that level of performance. In short, New York seems far more capable of making a run at the postseason. Well rested, that run starts here. Play: NY Jets -6.5


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